GW Poll Finds Warren Gaining Ground Among Democrats

Elizabeth Warren with her hand raised talking on a microphone
MARCH 15, 2019: Democratic 2020 U.S. presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren Campaigns in New Hampshire.
October 15, 2019
 

  Topline

Blog Summary: Elizabeth Warren Leading the Democratic Field

Press Release

A new GW Politics Poll that went into the field just 2 days after House Democrats announced their impeachment inquiry and right before Bernie Sander's heart attack, suggests that Elizabeth Warren is taking the lead among Democrats. The Massachusetts senator leads the field with 28 percent of the vote forcing Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders to play catch-up. 

Just ahead of the fourth Democratic debate, Warren's image seems to be revolving and she is now gaining support not just from the "very liberal" democrats but the"liberal" democrats as well. The most reassuring finding for Warren was that she would be their top second choice if their first choice dropped out of the race. 

The poll also looked at voters who prefer candidates that can make compromises with people they disagree with vs. candidates that stick to their position. 34% of Democrats that prefer compromise said they would back Warren while Sanders is their top choice for those who prefer candidates that stay strong on their position. These findings are based on interviews with 600 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents who participated in the poll.

These recent numbers seem favorable for Warren especially as Biden is entangled in the Trump-Ukraine drama and Sanders is dealing with health issues. 

About the Poll

The GW Politics Poll is managed jointly by GW's School of Media and Public Affairs, Graduate School of Political Management and Department of Political Science. YouGov, a respected leader in online polling, conducted the academic, nonpartisan research poll for GW. 

The survey, conducted by YouGov, interviewed 1200 Americans and went into the field Sept. 26, two days after House Democrats announced their impeachment inquiry and was completed Sept. 30. As a result, respondents were probably aware of Biden’s entanglement with Trump and Ukraine, but didn’t know about Sanders’s heart attack, which was revealed after the poll ended.

Explore the Data

 


 

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Jason Shevrin: [email protected], 202-994-5631
Timothy Pierce: [email protected], 202-994-5647